Text

Disentangling the contribution of socioeconomic pathways to future climate-related risks: the case of heat stress

---

In Summary, results obtained in this research show that future socioeconomic and climate conditions are oncertain and will depend on the direction of socioeconomic development and on the emissions level. The use of socioeconomic and climate scenarios in therefore cricisl to account for uncertainty in future socioeconomic and climatic conditions and to explore the spread of possible outcomes. The SSP-RCP framewok offers the possibility to acount for plentiful plausible futures. Throught the three case studies the range of future outcomes is extremely broad. For instance, the number of persons at very high risk of heat stress in Europe in the 2050s ranges from 13 million under SSP1-RCP2.6 (i.e., a low emissions scenario and a socioeconomic pathwaysdepicting a European population with very low vuinerability) to 216 million under SSP3-RCP8.5 (i.e a high-emissions scenario and a socioeconomic pathways depicting a highly vulnerable populationwith disintegration of the social fabric). In the case study of african cities, it is SSP$-RCP8.5 that leadss to the highest exposure to extreme heat due to the high demographic growth and fast urbanization decipted across Africa. In Houston, it is SSP1-RCP4.5 that leads to the hightest number of mortalities, despite the pact that SSP1 depicts a very sociality equitable society with low vulnerability.

---

Ketersediaan

B20210419016

DS 551.6 GUI d

Perpustakaan BIG (500)

Tersedia

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

-

No. Panggil

DS 551.6 GUI d

Penerbit

Netherland : University of Twente., 2020

Deskripsi Fisik

xvi, 259 hlm. : illus. ; 24 cm.

Bahasa

Inggris

ISBN/ISSN

978-90-365-4977-6

Klasifikasi

551.6

Tipe Isi

text

Tipe Media

other

Tipe Pembawa

unspecified

Edisi

-

Subjek

Perubahan Iklim

Info Detail Spesifik

-

Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

-

Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

Komentar

---

Anda harus masuk sebelum memberikan komentar