Image of A convolutional recurrent neural network for strong convective rainfall nowcasting using weather radar data in Southeastern Brazil

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A convolutional recurrent neural network for strong convective rainfall nowcasting using weather radar data in Southeastern Brazil

Strong convective systems and the associated heavy rainfall events can trig-ger floods and landslides with severe detrimental consequences. These events have a high spatio-temporal variability, being difficult to predict by standard meteorological numerical models. This work proposes the M5Images method for performing the very short-term prediction (nowcasting) of heavy convective rainfall using weather radar data by means of a convolutional recurrent neural network. The recurrent part of it is a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network. Prediction tests were performed for the city and surroundings of Campinas, located in the Southeastern Brazil. The convolutional recurrent neural network was trained using time series of rainfall rate images derived from weather radar data for a selected set of heavy rainfall events. The attained pre-diction performance was better than that given by the persistence forecasting method for different prediction times.

Ketersediaan
272551Perpustakaan BIG (Eksternal Harddisk)Tersedia
Informasi Detail
Judul Seri
Artificial Intelligence in Geosciences
No. Panggil
551
Penerbit
Beijing : KeAi Communications Co. Ltd..,
Deskripsi Fisik
6 hlm PDF, 1.368 KB
Bahasa
Inggris
ISBN/ISSN
2666-5441
Klasifikasi
551
Tipe Isi
text
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
-
Edisi
Vol.3, December 2022
Subjek
Deep learning
Nowcasting
Rainfall
Extreme events
Weather radar
Info Detail Spesifik
-
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab
Versi lain/terkait

Tidak tersedia versi lain

Lampiran Berkas
  • A convolutional recurrent neural network for strong convective rainfall nowcasting using weather radar data in Southeastern Brazil
    Strong convective systems and the associated heavy rainfall events can trig-ger floods and landslides with severe detrimental consequences. These events have a high spatio-temporal variability, being difficult to predict by standard meteorological numerical models. This work proposes the M5Images method for performing the very short-term prediction (nowcasting) of heavy convective rainfall using weather radar data by means of a convolutional recurrent neural network. The recurrent part of it is a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network. Prediction tests were performed for the city and surroundings of Campinas, located in the Southeastern Brazil. The convolutional recurrent neural network was trained using time series of rainfall rate images derived from weather radar data for a selected set of heavy rainfall events. The attained pre-diction performance was better than that given by the persistence forecasting method for different prediction times.
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