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Modeling ANN-Based Estimations of Probabilistic-Based Failure Soil Depths for Rainfall-Induced Shallow Landslides Due to Uncertainties in Rainfall Factors

Shiang-Jen Wu - Nama Orang; Syue-Rou Chen - Nama Orang; Cheng-Der Wang - Nama Orang;

In this study, an ANN-derived innovative model was developed for estimating the failure soil depths of rainfall-induced shallow landslide events, named the SM_EFD_LS model. The proposed SM_EFD_LS model was created using the modified ANN model via the genetic algorithm calibration approach (GA-SA) with multiple transfer functions (MTFs) (ANN_GA-SA_MTF) with a significant number of failure soil depths and corresponding rainfall factors. Ten shallow landslide-susceptible spots in the Jhuokou watershed in southern Taiwan were selected as the study area. The associated 1000 simulations of rainfall-induced shallow landslide events were used in the model’s development and validation. The model validation results indicate that the validated failure soil depths are mainly located within the resulting 60% confidence intervals from the proposed SM_EFD_LS model. Moreover, the estimated failure depths resemble the validated ones, with acceptable averages of the absolute error (RMSE) and relative error (MRE) (11 cm and 0.06) and a high model reliability index of 1.2. In the future, the resulting probabilistic-based failure soil depths obtained using the proposed SM_EFD_LS model could be introduced with the desired reliability needed for early landslide warning and prevention systems.


Ketersediaan
#
Perpustakaan BIG (Eksternal Harddisk) 550
431
Tersedia
Informasi Detail
Judul Seri
Geosciences
No. Panggil
550
Penerbit
Switzerland : MPDI., 2025
Deskripsi Fisik
27 hlm PDF, 11.347 KB
Bahasa
Inggris
ISBN/ISSN
2076-3263
Klasifikasi
550
Tipe Isi
text
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
online resource
Edisi
Vol.15, Issue 3, March 2025
Subjek
shallow landslide
rainfall uncertainty
failure soil depth
ANN-derived estimation
Info Detail Spesifik
Geosciences
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab
-
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Lampiran Berkas
  • Modeling ANN-Based Estimations of Probabilistic-Based Failure Soil Depths for Rainfall-Induced Shallow Landslides Due to Uncertainties in Rainfall Factors
    In this study, an ANN-derived innovative model was developed for estimating the failure soil depths of rainfall-induced shallow landslide events, named the SM_EFD_LS model. The proposed SM_EFD_LS model was created using the modified ANN model via the genetic algorithm calibration approach (GA-SA) with multiple transfer functions (MTFs) (ANN_GA-SA_MTF) with a significant number of failure soil depths and corresponding rainfall factors. Ten shallow landslide-susceptible spots in the Jhuokou watershed in southern Taiwan were selected as the study area. The associated 1000 simulations of rainfall-induced shallow landslide events were used in the model’s development and validation. The model validation results indicate that the validated failure soil depths are mainly located within the resulting 60% confidence intervals from the proposed SM_EFD_LS model. Moreover, the estimated failure depths resemble the validated ones, with acceptable averages of the absolute error (RMSE) and relative error (MRE) (11 cm and 0.06) and a high model reliability index of 1.2. In the future, the resulting probabilistic-based failure soil depths obtained using the proposed SM_EFD_LS model could be introduced with the desired reliability needed for early landslide warning and prevention systems.
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